SURVYR
13F +7% · CITADEL Institutional Filing Alert

Citadel GQS (Global Quantitative Strategies) (Citadel Quantitative Research & Systematic) added to AAPL (+7% shares QoQ · 17.0% of 13F portfolio)

Form 13F-HR institutional holdings disclosure · Filed 2026-10-17

AAPL

Apple Inc.
$343.91
−$3.82 (1.10%)Oct 26 close
Information TechnologyS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-9%+1%+10%+20%+30%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $348.1552w low $243.42
AAPLSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $405.00 (+17.8%) Wall St. Avg PT $328.35 (-4.5%)
$246$289$332$374$417POC $272Hi $405Avg $328
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -13.8%Current -1.2%
0.0%-13.8%
Relative Strength vs SPY+15.5% vs SPYOutperforming
+22%0%-22%
1W
+$0.97 (0.28%)
1M
+$2.84 (0.83%)
3M
+$7.29 (2.17%)
6M
+$76.78 (28.74%)
YTD
+$72.79 (26.85%)
1Y
+$82.06 (31.34%)

Chart

Loading live chart…

Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Buy
39 analysts · mean score 2.20
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Wall Street consensus
Analyst price targets
Current price$343.91
Average target$328.35
−$15.56 (−4.5%) downsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$215.00
Median$328.35
High$405.00
12-month Wall Street target range

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Financial health
DistressGrey zoneSafe
Safe zone
Altman Z-score 13.4
Above 2.99 is the safe zone, below 1.81 the distress zone.
Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Strong
Piotroski F-score 8 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✗Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✓Current ratio improved
  • ✓No share dilution
  • ✓Gross margin improved
  • ✓Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 27, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$5.0T
P/E (last 12 months)38.9
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)35.5
52-week range$243.42 – $348.15
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+16.4%
Dividend yield0.31%
Analyst consensusBuy (39)
Average analyst price target$328.35 (-5%)

What they do

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services.

Technology · Consumer Electronics
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 43%
▼Forward P/E vs sector35.5x vs median 17.3x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
▲Altman Z13.4 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.1x
•Analyst target-5% (39 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$125
-64%
growth 4% · disc. 10.6% · term. 2.0%
Base
$196
-43%
growth 9% · disc. 9.6% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$292
-15%
growth 12% · disc. 8.6% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 15% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+15%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-4%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+6%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+2%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+9%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 136.7B, 9.6% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-27). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.07 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.4× · 56th pct
38.9×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 17.3× · 91st pct
35.5×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.3× · 66th pct
29.6×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.8× · 79th pct
10.6×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.2× · 96th pct
46.1×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.6% · 43rd pct
2.8%
pricier

Forward EPS $9.57 vs trailing $8.72 (+10% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
48.7%
Operating margin
33.2%
FCF margin
29.3%
Net margin
27.6%
Return on equity
119.9%
Return on invested capital
98.9%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
39.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.1×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 13.4 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$328
-5%
Analysts
39
Buy
Range
$215–$405
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$416.2B$112.0B$98.8B
2024$391.0B$93.7B$108.8B
2023$383.3B$97.0B$99.6B
2022$394.3B$99.8B$111.4B
2021$365.8B$94.7B$93.0B
2020$274.5B$57.4B$73.4B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +1.8%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
50th percentile in sector
C+
12-1 return: +23.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
51st percentile in sector
C+
Revenue growth (YoY): +16.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
21st percentile in sector
D
Forward E/P: 2.8% · EBITDA/EV: 3.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
92nd percentile in sector
A
Profit margin: +27.6% · Return on equity: +148.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Not held by any of our 7 live models right now.

Quality Growth
ranked 21 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.8
Momentum Top 15
ranked 159 of 499 · 12-month momentum 24.9%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
ranked 59 of 589 · 12-month momentum 25.0%
SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book

Earnings & events

AAPL earningsNext report in 6 days
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Mon Nov 2, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$1.98
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Jul 30, 2026$2.02est $1.89+6.7%Above estimates
Apr 30, 2026$2.01est $1.94+3.5%Above estimates
Jan 29, 2026$2.84est $2.67+6.2%Above estimates
Oct 30, 2025$1.85est $1.77+4.5%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-26 17:51:59 ET
24-1025-0125-0525-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.002.84
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
Apple (AAPL) Could Be 36% Overvalued As AI Launches Meet iPhone Duo Scrutiny
Simply Wall St. · 51m ago
Instagram quietly makes major change for Apple TV users
TheStreet · 1h ago
What Did NetApp Do That HP Did Not?
Trefis · 1h ago
Apple's Most Expensive iPhone Faces Unexpected Problem
GuruFocus.com · 1h ago
Apple Stocks Move Higher With $1,999 M6 MacBook Pro Launch
GuruFocus.com · 1h ago
Insider trades
Newstead Jennifer
SVP, GC and Government Affairs · 2026-10-20
Sell
$814.7K
Parekh Kevan
Senior Vice President, CFO · 2026-10-16
Sell
$13.9K
Parekh Kevan
Senior Vice President, CFO · 2026-10-16
Sell
$27.7K
Parekh Kevan
Senior Vice President, CFO · 2026-10-16
Sell
$304.2K
Parekh Kevan
Senior Vice President, CFO · 2026-10-16
Sell
$66.0K
Parekh Kevan
Senior Vice President, CFO · 2026-10-16
Sell
$68.5K
Borders Ben
Principal Accounting Officer · 2026-10-16
Sell
$13.9K
Borders Ben
Principal Accounting Officer · 2026-10-16
Sell
$13.8K
Borders Ben
Principal Accounting Officer · 2026-10-16
Sell
$335.0K
Borders Ben
Principal Accounting Officer · 2026-10-16
Sell
$27.5K
Borders Ben
Principal Accounting Officer · 2026-10-16
Sell
$51.8K
Newstead Jennifer
SVP, GC and Government Affairs · 2026-10-13
Sell
$827.7K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-26 17:51:59 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026