Track record
Every model result, live and backtest
Signals are frozen and timestamped; live returns count from the next close.
Weekly scoreboard › · Sealed signals ›
How this works
Every model signal is frozen the moment it's made: timestamped, hashed and chained to the one before, so it can't be edited later. Live returns count only from the next market close after the freeze.
Live (since each model went live)
Quality Growth is down 2.5%, while the S&P 500 was down 0.1% over the same days. That is 2.3 points behind. (6 trading days of real tracking.)
Momentum Top 15 is down 3.0%, while the S&P 500 was down 0.1% over the same days. That is 2.9 points behind. (6 trading days of real tracking.)
Momentum Blend is up 0.1%, while the S&P 500 was down 0.1% over the same days. That is 0.3 points ahead. (5 trading days of real tracking.)
New Highs Growth is down 0.4%, while the S&P 500 was down 1.0% over the same days. That is 0.6 points ahead. (3 trading days of real tracking.)
SURVYR. Long Book is down 3.6%, while the S&P 500 was down 1.0% over the same days. That is 2.6 points behind. (4 trading days of real tracking.)
Backtest (hypothetical, for comparison)
These are simulations on past data, kept apart from the live results above. Switch to Pro for the numbers, or open a model for its plain-words summary.
| Model | OOS / yr | SPY | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality Growth | +28.3% | +12.0% | -29.1% |
| Momentum Top 15 | +26.6% | +12.0% | -25.3% |
| Momentum Blend | +13.5% | +12.0% | -30.8% |
| New Highs Growth | +18.1% | +12.0% | -15.5% |
| SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield | +20.1% | +12.0% | -13.3% |
| SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power | +38.4% | +12.0% | -18.4% |
Model health checks
3 of 7 live models have a number past one of its limits (Quality Growth, Momentum Top 15, SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power). That describes the model; it is not a signal to act on. Switch to Pro for each check.
Automatic checks on each live model's current book: concentration, tracking against its backtest and drawdown. Outside limit means a number is past the threshold below; it's a description of the model, not a signal to act on.
Quality Growth 2 outside limit
Momentum Top 15 2 outside limit
Momentum Blend All within limits
New Highs Growth All within limits
SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield All within limits
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power 1 outside limit
SURVYR. Long Book All within limits
How verification works
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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app
Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026