SURVYR
13F +24% · EXODUSPOINT Institutional Filing Alert

ExodusPoint Capital Management (Michael Gelband & Hyung Lee) added to ANET (+24% shares QoQ · 15.5% of 13F portfolio)

Form 13F-HR institutional holdings disclosure · Filed 2026-10-17

ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.
$187.00
+$9.76 (5.51%)Oct 27 close
Information TechnologyS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-27%-11%+6%+22%+39%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $217.4152w low $114.52
ANETSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $290.00 (+55.1%) Wall St. Avg PT $243.59 (+30.3%)
$116$162$207$253$299POC $134Hi $290Avg $244
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -28.3%Current -13.7%
0.0%-28.3%
Relative Strength vs SPY+5.7% vs SPYOutperforming
+27%0%-27%
1W
+$5.81 (3.21%)
1M
−$19.55 (9.47%)
3M
+$17.29 (10.19%)
6M
+$21.71 (13.13%)
YTD
+$55.97 (42.72%)
1Y
+$30.19 (19.25%)

Chart

Loading live chart…

Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Strong Buy
32 analysts · mean score 1.28
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy2475%
Buy722%
Hold13%
Underperform00%
Sell00%
Wall Street consensus · as of Oct 21, 2026
Analyst price targets
Current price$187.00
Average target$243.59
+$56.59 (+30.3%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$190.00
Median$248.00
High$290.00
12-month Wall Street target range · as of Oct 21, 2026

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Financial health
DistressGrey zoneSafe
Safe zone
Altman Z-score 17.1
Above 2.99 is the safe zone, below 1.81 the distress zone.
Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 5 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✗Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✗Current ratio improved
  • ✓No share dilution
  • ✗Gross margin improved
  • ✗Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 30, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$217.4B
P/E (last 12 months)58.6
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)33.0
52-week range$114.52 – $217.41
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+37.7%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (29)
Average analyst price target$243.59 (+30%)

What they do

Arista Networks, Inc. engages in the development, marketing, and sale of data-driven, client to cloud networking solutions for AI, data center, campus, and routing environments in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. Its cloud networking solutions consist of Extensible Operating System (EOS), a publish-subscribe state-sharing networking operating system offered in combination with a set of network applications.

Technology · Computer Hardware
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Roughly fairly valued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)above the price by 10%
▼Forward P/E vs sector33.0x vs median 17.3x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z17.1 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-2.9x
▲Analyst target+30% (29 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$104
-45%
growth 18% · disc. 13.3% · term. 2.0%
Base
$205
+10%
growth 30% · disc. 12.3% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$346
+85%
growth 38% · disc. 11.3% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 21% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+21%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+107%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+43%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+27%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+31%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 5.3B, 12.3% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.60 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.4× · 75th pct
58.6×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 17.3× · 89th pct
33.0×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.3× · 80th pct
44.0×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.8× · 93rd pct
20.6×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.2× · 86th pct
14.7×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.6% · 38th pct
2.4%
pricier

Forward EPS $5.22 vs trailing $2.94 (+78% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$1.3B
as of 2022-12-31
vs a year ago
+7%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.12×
coverage
21-03
21-06
21-09
21-12
22-03
22-06
22-09
22-12

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
63.0%
Operating margin
43.1%
FCF margin
50.2%
Net margin
38.4%
Return on equity
27.3%
Return on invested capital
253.4%
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.9×
Current ratio
3.0×
Interest cover
6,878.8×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.3×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 17.1 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$244
+30%
Analysts
29
Strong Buy
Range
$190–$290
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$9.0B$3.5B$4.4B
2024$7.0B$2.9B$3.7B
2023$5.9B$2.1B$2.0B
2022$4.4B$1.4B$492.8M
2021$2.9B$840.9M$1.0B
2020$2.3B$634.6M$735.1M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +27.1%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
52nd percentile in sector
C+
12-1 return: +29.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
84th percentile in sector
A-
Revenue growth (YoY): +37.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
14th percentile in sector
D-
Forward E/P: 3.0% · EBITDA/EV: 2.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
86th percentile in sector
A-
Profit margin: +38.4% · Return on equity: +31.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 3 of 7 live models: SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield, SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power, SURVYR. Long Book.

SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
5.0% of the book · Mid-Cap RS & EPS Leaders (75%) sleeve · ranked 5 of 160
Held
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
7.0% of the book · Fiber, EPC & Optical Interconnect (25%) sleeve · ranked 9 of 160
Held
SURVYR. Long Book
4.5% of the book · Core sleeve
Held
Quality Growth
ranked 25 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.8
Momentum Top 15
ranked 119 of 499 · 12-month momentum 34.3%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
ranked 46 of 589 · 12-month momentum 36.5%
Why it's in the SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield #5 of 160

Qualified on +44% 6M RS, 42% operating margin, zero debt balance sheet. Ranked 5th of 160 at the 2026-10-01 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 16 at the next rebalance (Oct 30).

Why it's in the SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power #9 of 160

Qualified on 7.0% weight, ultra-low-latency AI Ethernet cluster fabric leader. Ranked 9th of 160 at the 2026-10-01 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 14 at the next rebalance (Oct 30).

Why it's in the SURVYR. Long Book

Picked for this research portfolio at the Oct 21, 2026 close (Core group, AI).

What would knock it out: Weights are fixed and there is no rebalance rule. Any change would be dated and shown here.

Earnings & events

ANET earningsNext report in 6 days
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Tue Nov 3, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$1.08
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Aug 4, 2026$1.02est $0.89+15.2%Above estimates
May 5, 2026$0.87est $0.81+7.7%Above estimates
Feb 12, 2026$0.82est $0.76+8.2%Above estimates
Nov 4, 2025$0.75est $0.71+5.0%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-26 18:44:26 ET
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.001.02
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
What Are Cisco Investors Betting On?
Trefis · 22h ago
Arista Networks vs. Salesforce: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
Nasdaq · Oct 23
Adobe vs. Arista Networks: Which Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
Nasdaq · Oct 22
4 Cloud Computing Stocks to Bet on for Solid Long-Term Gains
Zacks · Oct 22
How Risky Is Ondas Stock?
Trefis · Oct 22

Research

Coteau Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield: rebalance of Oct 1, 2026Oct 26, 2026Coteau Physical AI Grid & Power: rebalance of Oct 1, 2026Oct 26, 2026Coteau Long Book: rebalance of Oct 21, 2026Oct 22, 2026
Insider trades
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$21.2K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$626.4K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$677.0K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$367.6K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$50.3K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$66.5K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$33.8K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$1.0M
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$1.1M
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$588.1K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$80.4K
Duda Kenneth
Director, President and CTO · 2026-10-20
Sell
$106.6K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-26 18:44:26 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026