SURVYR

DRH

DiamondRock Hospitality Company
$14.12
+$0.18 (1.29%)Oct 27 close
Real EstateS&P 600 CompareTechnicals
Model valuationLeans expensiveDCF base $15
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-7%+16%+40%+64%+88%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $14.0552w low $7.58
DRHSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $16.00 (+13.3%) Wall St. Avg PT $14.12 (-0.0%)
$7$10$12$14$16POC $9Hi $16Avg $14
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -10.8%Current 0.0%
0.0%-10.8%
Relative Strength vs SPY+74.2% vs SPYOutperforming
+85%0%-85%
1W
+$0.33 (2.39%)
1M
+$1.74 (14.06%)
3M
+$1.17 (9.00%)
6M
+$4.03 (39.87%)
YTD
+$5.39 (61.72%)
1Y
+$6.60 (87.74%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Buy
14 analysts · mean score 2.00
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy750%
Buy00%
Hold750%
Underperform00%
Sell00%
Wall Street consensus · as of Oct 21, 2026
Analyst price targets
Current price$14.12
Average target$14.04
−$0.08 (−0.6%) downsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$12.00
Median$14.00
High$16.00
12-month Wall Street target range · as of Oct 21, 2026
Recent analyst rating changes · 30
Reiterated
2026-10-26 · Wells Fargo reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH
Reiterated
2026-10-12 · Morgan Stanley reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · Truist Securities reiterated Buy on DRH
Reiterated
2026-08-27 · Barclays reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH
Reiterated
2026-08-19 · Evercore ISI Group reiterated In-Line on DRH
Reiterated
2026-08-18 · Morgan Stanley reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH
All analyst rating changes ›

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Financial health
DistressGrey zoneSafe
Distress zone
Altman Z-score 1.3
Above 2.99 is the safe zone, below 1.81 the distress zone.
Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 6 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✗Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✗Current ratio improved
  • ✓No share dilution
  • ✗Gross margin improved
  • ✓Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 30, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$2.8B
P/E (last 12 months)19.1
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)21.8
52-week range$7.58 – $14.05
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+4.1%
Dividend yield3.20%
Analyst consensusBuy (13)
Average analyst price target$14.12 (-0%)

What they do

DiamondRock Hospitality Company is a self-advised real estate investment trust (REIT) that is an owner of a leading portfolio of geographically diversified hotels concentrated in leisure destinations and top gateway markets. The Company currently owns 34 premium quality hotels with 9,479 rooms.

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)above the price by 4%
▲Forward P/E vs sector21.8x vs median 30.8x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▼Altman Z1.3 (distress)
▼Net debt / EBITDA7.6x
•Analyst target-0% (13 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$8
-46%
growth -1% · disc. 10.4% · term. 2.0%
Base
$15
+4%
growth 4% · disc. 9.4% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$24
+71%
growth 7% · disc. 8.4% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 3% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+3%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+6%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+4%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+30%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.2B, 9.4% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.03 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Real Estate

P/E (trailing)
sector median 28.9× · 19th pct
 19.1×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 30.8× · 24th pct
 21.8×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 17.3× · 97th pct
 29.1×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 6.6× · 16th pct
 2.5×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 1.8× · 54th pct
 1.9×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 6.8% · 73rd pct
 8.6%
cheaper

Forward EPS $0.63 vs trailing $0.72 (-12% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
11.5%
FCF margin
21.5%
Net margin
13.5%
Return on equity
10.1%
Return on invested capital
5.2%
Net debt / EBITDA
7.6×
Current ratio
–
Interest cover
2.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.6×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 1.3 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$14
-0%
Analysts
13
Buy
Range
$12–$16
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$1.1B$101.4M$243.7M
2024$1.1B$48.0M$224.4M
2023$1.1B$86.3M$237.6M
2022$1.0B$109.3M$206.2M
2021$567.1M$-194.6M$-2.3M
2020$299.5M$-394.4M$-83.7M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +3.8%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
99th percentile in sector
A+
12-1 return: +64.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
35th percentile in sector
C-
Revenue growth (YoY): +4.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
81st percentile in sector
A-
Forward E/P: 4.7% · EBITDA/EV: 7.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
59th percentile in sector
B-
Profit margin: +13.5% · Return on equity: +9.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 1 of 7 live models: Momentum Blend.

Momentum Blend
5.4% of the book · Core sleeve
 HeldQuality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
 New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book
Why it's in the Momentum Blend

In the Core sleeve: one of the steadiest 12-month uptrends in its universe (the model's smooth-trend momentum score).

What would knock it out: Re-checked at each monthly rebalance (next Oct 30); leaves if it no longer makes the Core selection. The latest preview drops it.

Earnings & events

DRH earningsNext report in 6 days
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Tue Nov 3, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$0.14 range $0.14–$0.14
Revenue consensus$291.8M 10 analysts
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Jul 30, 2026$0.28est $0.22+28.6%Above estimates
Apr 30, 2026$0.07est $0.04+100.0%Above estimates
Feb 26, 2026$0.12est $0.07+64.6%Above estimates
Nov 6, 2025$0.13est $0.09+54.7%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-27 18:03:46 ET
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0426-070.000.28
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Recent dividends

2026-09-30: $0.110 · 2026-06-30: $0.090 · 2026-03-31: $0.090 · 2025-12-31: $0.120 · 2025-09-30: $0.080 · 2025-06-30: $0.080 · 2025-03-28: $0.080 · 2024-12-31: $0.230

News & catalysts

More news
BofA Securities Adjusts Price Target on DiamondRock Hospitality to $16 From $14
MT Newswires · Oct 26
Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. (INN) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?
Zacks · Oct 23
How Earnings Beats Will Impact DiamondRock Hospitality Stock (DRH)
Simply Wall St. · Oct 22
DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?
Zacks · Oct 21
DRH or NHI: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Zacks · Oct 15

Research

Momentum Blend: rebalance of Sep 30, 2026Oct 22, 2026
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-26 · Wells Fargo reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH
Reiterated
2026-10-12 · Morgan Stanley reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · Truist Securities reiterated Buy on DRH
Reiterated
2026-08-27 · Barclays reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH
Reiterated
2026-08-19 · Evercore ISI Group reiterated In-Line on DRH
Reiterated
2026-08-18 · Morgan Stanley reiterated Equal-Weight on DRH

Third-party analyst actions, not SURVYR.'s views. All rating changes

Stats refreshed 2026-10-27 18:03:46 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

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Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026