SURVYR

GOOG

Alphabet Inc.
$316.83
+$2.64 (0.84%)Oct 27 close
Communication ServicesS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
Model valuationLeans expensiveDCF base $146
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-7%+7%+21%+36%+50%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $404.4752w low $256.10
GOOGSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $485.00 (+53.1%) Wall St. Avg PT $422.36 (+33.3%)
$268$335$402$468$535POC $338Hi $485Avg $422
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -21.2%Current -20.5%
0.0%-21.2%
Relative Strength vs SPY+4.1% vs SPYOutperforming
+45%0%-45%
1W
−$19.57 (5.82%)
1M
−$24.25 (7.11%)
3M
−$15.55 (4.68%)
6M
−$30.24 (8.71%)
YTD
+$3.64 (1.16%)
1Y
+$47.60 (17.68%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Strong Buy
14 analysts · mean score 1.38
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Wall Street consensus
Analyst price targets
Current price$316.83
Average target$422.36
+$105.53 (+33.3%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$340.00
Median$422.36
High$485.00
12-month Wall Street target range

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Financial health
DistressGrey zoneSafe
Safe zone
Altman Z-score 10.3
Above 2.99 is the safe zone, below 1.81 the distress zone.
Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 5 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✗Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✗Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✓Current ratio improved
  • ✓No share dilution
  • ✗Gross margin improved
  • ✗Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 30, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$3.9T
P/E (last 12 months)15.9
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)20.7
52-week range$256.10 – $404.47
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+24.2%
Dividend yield0.28%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (14)
Average analyst price target$422.36 (+33%)

What they do

Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube.

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 54%
▼Forward P/E vs sector20.7x vs median 10.9x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z10.3 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.0x
▲Analyst target+33% (14 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$88
-72%
growth 11% · disc. 11.3% · term. 2.0%
Base
$146
-54%
growth 18% · disc. 10.3% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$224
-29%
growth 23% · disc. 9.3% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 26% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+26%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+7%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+11%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+13%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+17%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 53.3B, 10.3% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.21 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Communication Services

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.3× · 38th pct
 15.9×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 10.9× · 78th pct
 20.7×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 12.7× · 87th pct
 25.3×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 1.8× · 87th pct
 8.7×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 2.3× · 72nd pct
 6.1×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 8.2% · 15th pct
 1.4%
pricier

Forward EPS $15.36 vs trailing $19.93 (-23% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$519.5B
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
+380%
YoY
× TTM revenue
1.17×
coverage
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
60.9%
Operating margin
33.1%
FCF margin
11.9%
Net margin
54.8%
Return on equity
38.1%
Return on invested capital
24.2%
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.0×
Current ratio
2.7×
Interest cover
65.6×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
0.8×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 10.3 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$422
+33%
Analysts
14
Strong Buy
Range
$340–$485
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$402.8B$132.2B$73.3B
2024$350.0B$100.1B$72.8B
2023$307.4B$73.8B$69.5B
2022$282.8B$60.0B$60.0B
2021$257.6B$76.0B$67.0B
2020$182.5B$40.3B$42.8B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +12.5%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
72nd percentile in sector
B+
12-1 return: +21.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
78th percentile in sector
B+
Revenue growth (YoY): +24.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
17th percentile in sector
D
Forward E/P: 4.5% · EBITDA/EV: 4.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
93rd percentile in sector
A
Profit margin: +54.8% · Return on equity: +48.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Not held by any of our 7 live models right now.

Quality Growth
ranked 61 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.7
 Momentum Top 15
ranked 105 of 499 · 12-month momentum 38.0%
 Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
 New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book

Earnings & events

GOOG earningsReports today
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Wed Oct 28, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$2.97
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Jul 22, 2026$2.85est $2.91−2.1%Below estimates
Apr 29, 2026$2.76est $2.63+5.0%Above estimates
Feb 4, 2026$2.82est $2.64+6.8%Above estimates
Oct 29, 2025$2.87est $2.26+26.9%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-27 17:49:50 ET
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.002.91
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
Ambani's Jio surges 21% in Mumbai debut as valuation soars to $131.5 billion
Reuters · 1h ago
Jio shares surge 21% in market debut after blockbuster India IPO
TechCrunch · 1h ago
GOOGL Stock Inches Higher On Buzz Around OpenAI Eying TPUs
Stocktwits · 2h ago
Ambani’s Jio surges 21% in Mumbai debut after record $3.2 billion India IPO
Investing.com · 2h ago
WPP (LSE:WPP) Has Fresh Attention, But What Is Really Driving It?
Simply Wall St. · 2h ago
Insider trades
Arnold Frances
Director · 2026-09-30
Sell
$28.3K
Arnold Frances
Director · 2026-08-28
Sell
$27.7K
Arnold Frances
Director · 2026-07-30
Sell
$27.3K
Saraci Marsida
VP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-07-29
Sell
$149.6K
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-28
Sell
$2.2M
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-27
Sell
$3.8M
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-24
Sell
$442.0K
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-23
Sell
$1.2M
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-22
Sell
$953.5K
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-21
Sell
$3.9K
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-21
Sell
$432.4K
Gv 2019 Gp, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-07-20
Sell
$346.9K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-27 17:49:50 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

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Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026