SURVYR

INTC

Intel Corporation
$93.74
+$3.27 (3.61%)Oct 27 close
Information TechnologyS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
Model valuationLooks expensiveDCF base $-0
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-17%+52%+122%+191%+260%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $142.3552w low $32.89
INTCSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $200.00 (+113.4%) Wall St. Avg PT $117.14 (+25.0%)
$34$77$120$163$206POC $45Hi $200Avg $117
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -41.9%Current -33.5%
0.0%-41.9%
Relative Strength vs SPY+123.5% vs SPYOutperforming
+284%0%-284%
1W
+$2.05 (2.24%)
1M
−$29.26 (23.79%)
3M
+$7.44 (8.62%)
6M
+$9.22 (10.91%)
YTD
+$56.84 (154.04%)
1Y
+$54.20 (137.08%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Buy
49 analysts · mean score 2.45
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy1429%
Buy12%
Hold3367%
Underperform00%
Sell12%
Wall Street consensus · as of Oct 21, 2026
Analyst price targets
Current price$93.74
Average target$117.14
+$23.40 (+25.0%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$80.00
Median$110.00
High$200.00
12-month Wall Street target range · as of Oct 21, 2026

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 6 of 9
See the tests
  • ✗Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✓Current ratio improved
  • ✗No share dilution
  • ✓Gross margin improved
  • ✗Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 27, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$459.7B
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)41.2
52-week range$32.89 – $142.35
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+25.4%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (43)
Average analyst price target$117.14 (+25%)

What they do

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products.

Technology · Semiconductors
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 100%
▼Forward P/E vs sector41.2x vs median 17.3x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▼Net debt / EBITDA173.3x
▲Analyst target+25% (43 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$-2
-102%
growth 5% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$-0
-100%
growth 10% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$1
-99%
growth 13% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 2.4% average margin × current revenue = 1.4B (last 12 months: 2.8B at a 5% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $4.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows more than 50% a year for 10 years.
Implied
>50%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-6%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
-7%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 1.4B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-27). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.23 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.4×
 –
Forward P/E
sector median 17.3× · 93rd pct
 41.2×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.3× · 100th pct
 3,910.6×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.8× · 72nd pct
 8.1×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.2× · 51st pct
 5.3×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.6% · 13th pct
 0.6%
pricier

Forward EPS $2.11 vs trailing $-2.12. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$1.8B
as of 2019-12-28
vs a year ago
-61%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.03×
coverage
18-12
19-12

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
38.6%
Operating margin
-0.1%
FCF margin
5.0%
Net margin
-19.8%
Return on equity
-12.9%
Return on invested capital
-0.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
173.3×
Current ratio
1.6×
Interest cover
-0.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$117
+25%
Analysts
43
Buy
Range
$80–$200
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$52.9B$-267.0M$-4.9B
2024$53.1B$-18.8B$-15.7B
2023$54.2B$1.7B$-14.3B
2022$63.1B$8.0B$-9.4B
2021$79.0B$19.9B$10.7B
2020$77.9B$20.9B$21.6B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -5.7%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
96th percentile in sector
A+
12-1 return: +200.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
68th percentile in sector
B
Revenue growth (YoY): +25.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
21st percentile in sector
D
Forward E/P: 2.3% · EBITDA/EV: 3.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
4th percentile in sector
F
Profit margin: -19.8% · Return on equity: -10.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 1 of 7 live models: Momentum Top 15.

Momentum Top 15
6.7% of the book · ranked 9 of 499
 HeldQuality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
 New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book
Why it's in the Momentum Top 15 #9 of 499

Qualified on 12-1 momentum of +166.8% (its gain from 12 months to 1 month before 2026-09-30). Ranked 9th of 499 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 15 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-27) it ranks 8th.

Earnings & events

INTC earningsNext report in 2 days
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Thu Oct 29, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$0.40
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Jul 23, 2026$0.42est $0.22+94.6%Above estimates
Apr 23, 2026$0.29est $0.01+2108.7%Above estimates
Jan 22, 2026$0.15est $0.08+81.5%Above estimates
Oct 23, 2025$0.23est $0.01+3162.4%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-27 18:03:07 ET
24-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-07-0.460.42
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
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decrypt · 4h ago
What's behind the AI trade comeback — plus, our take on Intel's latest deal
CNBC · 4h ago
NVIDIA Just Took CPU Business From AMD and Intel. What It Does to the Target
24/7 Wall St. · 7h ago
Intel tests SMA(20) amid macro downtrend: Live levels
Investing.com · 8h ago
Can Slightly Higher Processor Revenues Aid Intel's Q3 Earnings?
Zacks · 9h ago

Research

Momentum Top 15: rebalance of Sep 30, 2026Oct 22, 2026Momentum Top 15: the October 2026 book, a rough start, and what the backtest says to expectOct 18, 2026
Insider trades
Tan Lip Bu
Director, CEO · 2026-08-11
Buy
$10.0M
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-27 18:03:07 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

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Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026