SURVYR
13F +14% · SCHONFELD Institutional Filing Alert

Schonfeld Strategic Advisors (Ryan Tolkin · Fundamental & Quant Pods) added to PANW (+14% shares QoQ · 17.0% of 13F portfolio)

Form 13F-HR institutional holdings disclosure · Filed 2026-10-16

PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
$401.70
+$11.24 (2.88%)Oct 27 close
Information TechnologyS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-37%-3%+30%+63%+96%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $432.3352w low $139.57
PANWSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $525.00 (+30.7%) Wall St. Avg PT $398.52 (-0.8%)
$142$241$341$441$541POC $191Hi $525Avg $399
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -36.0%Current -4.3%
0.0%-36.0%
Relative Strength vs SPY+68.8% vs SPYOutperforming
+87%0%-87%
1W
+$61.42 (18.05%)
1M
+$26.96 (7.19%)
3M
+$82.70 (25.92%)
6M
+$220.71 (121.95%)
YTD
+$217.50 (118.08%)
1Y
+$181.41 (82.35%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Buy
55 analysts · mean score 1.69
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy3258%
Buy1018%
Hold1222%
Underperform00%
Sell12%
Wall Street consensus · as of Oct 16, 2026
Analyst price targets
Current price$401.70
Average target$398.52
−$3.18 (−0.8%) downsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$190.00
Median$415.00
High$525.00
12-month Wall Street target range · as of Oct 16, 2026

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Financial health
DistressGrey zoneSafe
Safe zone
Altman Z-score 8.3
Above 2.99 is the safe zone, below 1.81 the distress zone.
Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 4 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✗Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✗Current ratio improved
  • ✗No share dilution
  • ✗Gross margin improved
  • ✗Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jul 31, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$278.3B
P/E (last 12 months)850.7
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)69.7
52-week range$139.57 – $432.33
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+34.5%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (50)
Average analyst price target$398.52 (-1%)

What they do

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. It offers Prisma Access, a secure access service edge solution; Strata Cloud Manager, a network security management solution; and Prisma AIRS to protect customers' entire AI ecosystem. It provides a comprehensive cloud native application protection platform.

Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)below the price by 3%
▼Forward P/E vs sector69.7x vs median 17.3x
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▲Altman Z8.3 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.7x
•Analyst target-1% (50 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$181
-55%
growth 16% · disc. 9.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$391
-3%
growth 27% · disc. 8.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$727
+81%
growth 33% · disc. 7.9% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 20% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+20%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+18%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+25%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+19%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+22%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 4.6B, 8.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-07-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.93 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.4× · 99th pct
850.7×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 17.3× · 97th pct
69.7×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.3× · 97th pct
178.9×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.8× · 95th pct
24.2×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.2× · 73rd pct
10.1×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.6% · 23rd pct
1.6%
pricier

Forward EPS $4.88 vs trailing $0.40 (+1120% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$21.2B
as of 2026-07-31
vs a year ago
+34%
YoY
× TTM revenue
1.85×
coverage
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
70.4%
Operating margin
6.1%
FCF margin
39.7%
Net margin
2.7%
Return on equity
1.1%
Return on invested capital
1.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7×
Current ratio
0.9×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
14.8×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 8.3 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$399
-1%
Analysts
50
Buy
Range
$190–$525
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$11.5B$307.0M$4.6B
2025$9.2B$1.1B$3.7B
2024$8.0B$2.6B$3.3B
2023$6.9B$439.7M$2.8B
2022$5.5B$-267.0M$2.0B
2021$4.3B$-498.9M$1.5B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +18.5%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
76th percentile in sector
B+
12-1 return: +80.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
79th percentile in sector
B+
Revenue growth (YoY): +34.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
3rd percentile in sector
F
Forward E/P: 1.4% · EBITDA/EV: 0.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
18th percentile in sector
D
Profit margin: +2.7% · Return on equity: +1.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 1 of 7 live models: New Highs Growth.

New Highs Growth
4.0% of the book · ranked 22 of 589
Held
Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 28 of 499 · 12-month momentum 87.7%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book
Why it's in the New Highs Growth #22 of 589

Qualified on Software, +0% from 52-week high, revenue +34% y/y, 12-1 momentum +87%. Ranked 22nd of 589 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 25 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-26) it ranks 17th.

Earnings & events

PANW earningsNext report in 23 days
Next report
Thu Nov 19, 2026Time not confirmed
EPS consensus$0.97
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Sep 1, 2026$1.02est $0.98+4.3%Above estimates
Jun 2, 2026$0.85est $0.80+6.6%Above estimates
Feb 17, 2026$1.03est $0.94+9.9%Above estimates
Nov 19, 2025$0.93est $0.89+4.4%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed 2026-10-26 17:55:22 ET
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0626-090.001.03
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
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Trefis · 7h ago
NWN Strengthens Palo Alto Networks Partnership with Three NextWave Advanced MSSP Specializations
Business Wire · 8h ago
Horizon3 Announces NodeZero® Integration With Palo Alto Networks Cortex XSOAR
Business Wire · 8h ago
iShares Expanded Tech-Software (IGV) Sells $9.1 Million of Palantir on Friday
GuruFocus.com · 10h ago
Insider trades
Bawa Aparna
Director · 2026-10-09
Sell
$33.4K
Bawa Aparna
Director · 2026-10-09
Sell
$69.7K
Paul Josh D.
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-10-01
Sell
$158.3K
Bawa Aparna
Director · 2026-09-24
Sell
$102.1K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$39.6K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$355.5K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$865.9K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$2.5M
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$2.1M
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$3.7M
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$842.1K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
Sell
$349.8K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-26 17:55:22 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026