SURVYR
13F QUANT SIGNAL BUY · CUBIST Institutional Filing Alert

Cubist Systematic Strategies (Point72 Quant) (Point72 Systematic & Quant Arm) highlighted PLTR in latest 13F

Point72's systematic quant engine rotated into high-momentum AI software (PLTR, APP) & semiconductor leaders

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.
$198.84
+$2.09 (1.06%)Oct 26 close
Information TechnologyS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-44%-29%-14%0%+15%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $212.9452w low $106.37
PLTRSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $265.00 (+33.3%) Wall St. Avg PT $206.43 (+3.8%)
$107$149$190$232$273POC $133Hi $265Avg $206
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -48.2%Current -4.9%
0.0%-48.2%
Relative Strength vs SPY-7.8% vs SPYUnderperforming
+59%0%-59%
1W
+$4.69 (2.42%)
1M
+$9.17 (4.83%)
3M
+$67.31 (51.17%)
6M
+$55.74 (38.95%)
YTD
+$21.09 (11.86%)
1Y
+$14.21 (7.70%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Buy
31 analysts · mean score 1.90
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy1858%
Buy26%
Hold826%
Underperform26%
Sell13%
Wall Street consensus · as of Oct 22, 2026
Analyst price targets
Current price$198.84
Average target$206.62
+$7.78 (+3.9%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$80.00
Median$217.50
High$265.00
12-month Wall Street target range · as of Oct 22, 2026

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Financial health
DistressGrey zoneSafe
Safe zone
Altman Z-score 156.9
Above 2.99 is the safe zone, below 1.81 the distress zone.
Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Strong
Piotroski F-score 8 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✓Current ratio improved
  • ✗No share dilution
  • ✓Gross margin improved
  • ✓Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 30, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$462.8B
P/E (last 12 months)166.0
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)81.9
52-week range$106.37 – $212.94
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+92.8%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (26)
Average analyst price target$206.43 (+4%)

What they do

Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It provides Palantir Gotham integrates with other platforms for defense offerings which enables users to see, understand, and act in the modern battlespace.

Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 67%
▼Forward P/E vs sector81.9x vs median 17.3x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
▲Altman Z156.9 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-3.5x
•Analyst target+4% (26 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$33
-83%
growth 18% · disc. 13.3% · term. 2.0%
Base
$65
-67%
growth 30% · disc. 12.3% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$110
-45%
growth 38% · disc. 11.3% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 40% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+40%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+125%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+33%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+33%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 3.4B, 12.3% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.60 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.4× · 95th pct
166.0×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 17.3× · 98th pct
81.9×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.3× · 97th pct
170.3×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.8× · 99th pct
75.2×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.2× · 96th pct
47.4×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.6% · 14th pct
0.7%
pricier

Forward EPS $2.35 vs trailing $1.16 (+103% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$4.9B
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
+104%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.80×
coverage
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
84.8%
Operating margin
42.8%
FCF margin
54.6%
Net margin
49.0%
Return on equity
30.9%
Return on invested capital
712.0%
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.5×
Current ratio
7.2×
Interest cover
759.3×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.1×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 156.9 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$206
+4%
Analysts
26
Buy
Range
$80–$265
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$4.5B$1.6B$2.1B
2024$2.9B$462.2M$1.1B
2023$2.2B$209.8M$697.1M
2022$1.9B$-373.7M$183.7M
2021$1.5B$-520.4M$321.2M
2020$1.1B$-1.2B$-308.8M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +32.9%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
33rd percentile in sector
C-
12-1 return: -6.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
96th percentile in sector
A+
Revenue growth (YoY): +92.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
3rd percentile in sector
F
Forward E/P: 1.3% · EBITDA/EV: 0.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
90th percentile in sector
A
Profit margin: +49.0% · Return on equity: +38.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 1 of 7 live models: Quality Growth.

Quality Growth
6.7% of the book · ranked 14 of 360
Held
Momentum Top 15
ranked 316 of 499 · 12-month momentum 2.2%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
ranked 73 of 589 · 12-month momentum 4.2%
SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book
Why it's in the Quality Growth #14 of 360

Qualified on ROIC 27%, revenue +79% (TTM), growth accelerating +22.4 pts, latest quarter 2026-06-30. Ranked 14th of 360 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 15 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-26) it ranks 23rd.

Earnings & events

PLTR earningsNext report in 6 days
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Mon Nov 2, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$0.41
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Aug 3, 2026$0.41est $0.35+18.5%Above estimates
May 4, 2026$0.33est $0.28+18.1%Above estimates
Feb 2, 2026$0.25est $0.23+8.6%Above estimates
Nov 3, 2025$0.21est $0.17+25.5%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-26 18:06:27 ET
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.000.41
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
Palantir is one of just 3 crushed S&P 500 stocks up for the year
TheStreet · 3h ago
Better Defense Stock to Own Through 2030: Palantir vs. RTX Corporation
Nasdaq · 7h ago
iShares Expanded Tech-Software (IGV) Sells $9.1 Million of Palantir on Friday
GuruFocus.com · 8h ago
Not Palantir. Not Snowflake. This AI Software Stock Could Be the Next Multibagger.
Nasdaq · 17h ago
Anthropic’s 7 Founders Will Use New Stock Class to Take Control of the Business
Barrons.com · 21h ago
Insider trades
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$20.1K
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$840.6K
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$696.7K
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$534.9K
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$177.1K
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$470.1K
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$312.2K
Moore Alexander D.
Director · 2026-10-15
Sell
$116.0K
Woersching Eric H.
Director · 2026-10-09
Sell
$205.0K
Taylor Ryan D.
See Remarks · 2026-10-08
Sell
$3.6M
Stat Lauren Elaina Friedman
Director · 2026-10-08
Sell
$1.0M
Stat Lauren Elaina Friedman
Director · 2026-10-01
Sell
$254.0K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-26 18:06:27 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026