SURVYR

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation
$1,304.84
+$49.26 (3.92%)Oct 27 close
Information TechnologyS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-19%+294%+607%+921%+1234%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $2,354.3952w low $142.76
SNDKSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $3,600.00 (+175.9%) Wall St. Avg PT $2,173.00 (+66.5%)
$176$1,059$1,942$2,825$3,708POC $1,641Hi $3,600Avg $2,173
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -56.5%Current -44.1%
0.0%-56.5%
Relative Strength vs SPY+625.8% vs SPYOutperforming
+1397%0%-1397%
1W
−$60.54 (4.43%)
1M
−$472.96 (26.60%)
3M
+$208.74 (19.04%)
6M
+$302.49 (30.18%)
YTD
+$1,067.46 (449.68%)
1Y
+$1,128.35 (639.33%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Buy
25 analysts · mean score 1.52
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy1768%
Buy416%
Hold312%
Underperform14%
Sell00%
Wall Street consensus · as of Oct 18, 2026
Analyst price targets
Current price$1,304.84
Average target$2,173.00
+$868.16 (+66.5%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$1,000.00
Median$2,150.00
High$3,600.00
12-month Wall Street target range · as of Oct 18, 2026

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Financial health
DistressGrey zoneSafe
Safe zone
Altman Z-score 21.2
Above 2.99 is the safe zone, below 1.81 the distress zone.
Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Strong
Piotroski F-score 7 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✗Current ratio improved
  • ✗No share dilution
  • ✓Gross margin improved
  • ✓Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jul 3, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$197.3B
P/E (last 12 months)18.5
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)5.1
52-week range$142.76 – $2,354.39
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+371.6%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (24)
Average analyst price target$2,173.00 (+67%)

What they do

Sandisk Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions using NAND flash technology in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company provides solid state drives for desktop and notebook PCs, gaming consoles, and set top boxes. It sells its products to computer manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers, datacenters, private cloud customers, cloud service providers.

Technology · Computer Hardware
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +5 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 291%
▲Forward P/E vs sector5.1x vs median 17.3x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▲Altman Z21.2 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.4x
▲Analyst target+67% (24 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$2,244
+72%
growth 18% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$5,098
+291%
growth 30% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$9,704
+644%
growth 38% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 4% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+4%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+49%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
n/a
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 11.5B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-07-03). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.4× · 15th pct
18.5×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 17.3× · 1st pct
5.1×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.3× · 30th pct
15.4×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 4.8× · 77th pct
9.7×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.2× · 79th pct
12.5×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.6% · 76th pct
5.8%
cheaper

Forward EPS $266.30 vs trailing $73.76 (+261% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$59.8B
as of 2026-07-03
vs a year ago
–
YoY
× TTM revenue
2.95×
coverage
26-04
26-07

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
71.5%
Operating margin
61.2%
FCF margin
56.8%
Net margin
56.5%
Return on equity
72.7%
Return on invested capital
99.2%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4×
Current ratio
2.3×
Interest cover
169.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.0×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 21.2 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$2,173
+67%
Analysts
24
Buy
Range
$1,000–$3,600
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$20.2B$11.4B$11.5B
2025$7.4B$-1.6B$-120.0M
2024$6.7B$-672.0M$-475.0M
2023$6.1B$-2.1B$-932.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +49.3%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
100th percentile in sector
A+
12-1 return: +772.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
100th percentile in sector
A+
Revenue growth (YoY): +371.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
85th percentile in sector
A-
Forward E/P: 20.5% · EBITDA/EV: 6.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
96th percentile in sector
A+
Profit margin: +56.5% · Return on equity: +91.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 2 of 7 live models: Quality Growth, Momentum Top 15.

Quality Growth
6.7% of the book · ranked 1 of 360
Held
Momentum Top 15
6.7% of the book · ranked 1 of 499
Held
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book
Why it's in the Quality Growth #1 of 360

Qualified on ROIC 89%, revenue +175% (TTM), growth accelerating +269.4 pts, latest quarter 2026-07-03. Ranked 1st of 360 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 15 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-27) it ranks 2nd.

Why it's in the Momentum Top 15 #1 of 499

Qualified on 12-1 momentum of +1296.3% (its gain from 12 months to 1 month before 2026-09-30). Ranked 1st of 499 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 15 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-27) it ranks 1st.

Earnings & events

SNDK earningsReports tomorrow
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Thu Oct 29, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$46.41
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Aug 5, 2026$39.25est $34.52+13.7%Above estimates
Apr 30, 2026$23.41est $14.66+59.7%Above estimates
Jan 29, 2026$6.20est $3.54+75.0%Above estimates
Nov 6, 2025$1.22est $0.89+36.9%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-27 17:53:23 ET
25-0525-0825-1126-0126-0426-08-0.3939.25
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
MU, SNDK, Neocloud Stocks Extend Gains On Anthropic Boost, SK Hynix Q3 Stunner; Jim Cramer Urges Caution
Stocktwits · 1h ago
Pre-Q1 Earnings: Is Sandisk Stock a Portfolio Must-Have?
Zacks · 13h ago
Sandisk Stocks Surge 3.5% Before Thursday's NAND Earnings Report
GuruFocus.com · 14h ago
Sandisk Stock Has Been Cut Nearly in Half Since June. Should You Buy It Before Thursday's Report?
Nasdaq · 14h ago
Don’t Be Surprised If NVIDIA, Micron, and SanDisk Outperform the Market Again
24/7 Wall St. · 16h ago

Research

Quality Growth: rebalance of Sep 30, 2026Oct 22, 2026Momentum Top 15: rebalance of Sep 30, 2026Oct 22, 2026Momentum Top 15: the October 2026 book, a rough start, and what the backtest says to expectOct 18, 2026
Insider trades
Shek Bernard
Chief Legal Officer and Secty · 2026-10-01
Sell
$1.0M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$261.9K
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$2.4M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$1.7M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$2.3M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$1.0M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$4.5M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$6.5M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$4.4M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$4.1M
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$481.4K
Goeckeler David
Director, Chairman & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$1.8M

Stats refreshed 2026-10-27 17:53:23 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026