SURVYR

WMT

Walmart Inc.
$119.32
−$0.97 (0.81%)Oct 27 close
Consumer StaplesS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-7%+2%+12%+21%+30%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $135.1652w low $98.88
WMTSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $155.00 (+29.9%) Wall St. Avg PT $127.47 (+6.8%)
$100$116$133$149$165POC $113Hi $155Avg $127
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -23.3%Current -10.9%
0.0%-23.3%
Relative Strength vs SPY+1.6% vs SPYOutperforming
+33%0%-33%
1W
+$1.47 (1.25%)
1M
+$11.34 (10.50%)
3M
+$6.49 (5.75%)
6M
−$7.72 (6.08%)
YTD
+$8.61 (7.78%)
1Y
+$15.72 (15.18%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Buy
43 analysts · mean score 1.51
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy1023%
Buy2865%
Hold49%
Underperform12%
Sell00%
Wall Street consensus
Analyst price targets
Current price$119.32
Average target$127.47
+$8.16 (+6.8%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$81.00
Median$130.00
High$155.00
12-month Wall Street target range
Recent analyst rating changes · 30
Reiterated
2026-10-20 · Evercore ISI Group reiterated Outperform on WMT
Upgrade
2026-10-15 · Deutsche Bank upgraded WMT from Hold to Buy
Reiterated
2026-09-29 · Mizuho reiterated Outperform on WMT
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · DA Davidson reiterated Buy on WMT
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · BTIG reiterated Buy on WMT
Reiterated
2026-08-31 · Tigress Financial reiterated Buy on WMT

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 6 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✗Current ratio improved
  • ✓No share dilution
  • ✗Gross margin improved
  • ✗Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jul 31, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$949.6B
P/E (last 12 months)43.2
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)37.0
52-week range$98.88 – $135.16
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+5.9%
Dividend yield0.82%
Analyst consensusBuy (40)
Average analyst price target$127.47 (+7%)

What they do

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications worldwide.

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 66%
▼Forward P/E vs sector37.0x vs median 14.9x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.8x
•Analyst target+7% (40 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$21
-82%
growth 1% · disc. 8.1% · term. 2.0%
Base
$40
-66%
growth 6% · disc. 7.1% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$73
-38%
growth 9% · disc. 6.1% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 18% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+18%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+8%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-10%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+5%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 13.5B, 7.1% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.58 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.9× · 85th pct
43.2×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 14.9× · 96th pct
37.0×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 12.1× · 90th pct
20.9×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 1.1× · 52nd pct
1.3×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 3.1× · 87th pct
9.7×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 6.5% · 6th pct
1.4%
pricier

Forward EPS $3.23 vs trailing $2.76 (+17% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
25.2%
Operating margin
4.4%
FCF margin
1.8%
Net margin
3.0%
Return on equity
22.5%
Return on invested capital
18.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8×
Current ratio
0.8×
Interest cover
17.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.9×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$127
+7%
Analysts
40
Buy
Range
$81–$155
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$713.2B$21.9B$14.9B
2025$681.0B$19.4B$12.7B
2024$648.1B$15.5B$15.1B
2023$611.3B$11.7B$12.0B
2022$572.8B$13.7B$11.1B
2021$559.2B$13.5B$25.8B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +5.3%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
53rd percentile in sector
C+
12-1 return: +3.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
66th percentile in sector
B
Revenue growth (YoY): +5.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
6th percentile in sector
F
Forward E/P: 2.7% · EBITDA/EV: 4.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
56th percentile in sector
C+
Profit margin: +3.0% · Return on equity: +22.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Not held by any of our 7 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 310 of 499 · 12-month momentum 2.6%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book

Earnings & events

WMT earningsNext report in 23 days
Next report
Thu Nov 19, 2026Before the open
EPS consensus$0.64 range $0.62–$0.67
Revenue consensus$187.2B 29 analysts
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Aug 20, 2026$0.81est $0.74+9.3%Above estimates
May 21, 2026$0.66est $0.66+0.2%In line with estimates
Feb 19, 2026$0.74est $0.73+1.8%Above estimates
Nov 20, 2025$0.62est $0.60+3.1%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed 2026-10-27 18:23:51 ET
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.000.81
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$187.9B+5.9%
2026-04-30$177.8B–
2026-01-31$190.7B–
2025-10-31$179.5B–
2025-07-31$177.4B–

Recent dividends

2026-08-21: $0.248 · 2026-05-08: $0.248 · 2026-03-20: $0.248 · 2025-12-12: $0.235 · 2025-08-15: $0.235 · 2025-05-09: $0.235 · 2025-03-21: $0.235 · 2024-12-13: $0.208

News & catalysts

More news
Walmart’s margins in Mexico tighten as costs outpace sales growth
Investing.com · 1h ago
RIVN Stock Rebounds As Unconfirmed Walmart Delivery Van Sparks Fleet Hopes
Stocktwits · 1h ago
Walmart says AI training is boosting confidence with the technology among its 2.1 million associates
CNBC · 2h ago
DoorDash soon could acquire grocery delivery service Instacart
LA Times · 2h ago
Sorry, Trump. More Russian Oil Won’t Take Down Energy Prices. Here’s What Will.
Barrons.com · 4h ago
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-20 · Evercore ISI Group reiterated Outperform on WMT
Upgrade
2026-10-15 · Deutsche Bank upgraded WMT from Hold to Buy
Reiterated
2026-09-29 · Mizuho reiterated Outperform on WMT
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · DA Davidson reiterated Buy on WMT
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · BTIG reiterated Buy on WMT
Reiterated
2026-08-31 · Tigress Financial reiterated Buy on WMT

Third-party analyst actions, not SURVYR.'s views. All rating changes

Insider trades
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-10-15
Sell
$157.2K
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-10-15
Sell
$192.5K
Furner John R.
Director, President & CEO · 2026-10-15
Sell
$729.9K
Furner John R.
Director, President & CEO · 2026-10-15
Sell
$853.0K
Watkins Latriece
Executive Vice President · 2026-10-14
Sell
$575.0K
Bartlett Daniel J
Executive Vice President · 2026-10-01
Sell
$416.6K
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-17
Sell
$149.0K
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-17
Sell
$160.3K
Furner John R.
Director, President & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$645.9K
Furner John R.
Director, President & CEO · 2026-09-17
Sell
$754.0K
Bartlett Daniel J
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-01
Sell
$415.3K
Danker Daniel
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-26
Sell
$5.3M

Stats refreshed 2026-10-27 18:23:51 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026