SURVYR

XEL

Xcel Energy
$78.14
+$0.28 (0.35%)Oct 27 close
UtilitiesS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-11%-5%+2%+8%+15%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $82.0152w low $69.39
XELSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $106.76 (+36.6%) Wall St. Avg PT $87.51 (+12.0%)
$69$80$90$100$111POC $78Hi $107Avg $88
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -15.4%Current -4.7%
0.0%-15.4%
Relative Strength vs SPY-13.7% vs SPYUnderperforming
+28%0%-28%
1W
+$1.46 (1.90%)
1M
+$8.33 (11.94%)
3M
−$1.55 (1.95%)
6M
−$0.12 (0.15%)
YTD
+$5.95 (8.24%)
1Y
−$0.12 (0.16%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Strong Buy
20 analysts · mean score 1.40
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Strong Buy1470%
Buy420%
Hold210%
Underperform00%
Sell00%
Wall Street consensus · as of Oct 22, 2026
Analyst price targets
Current price$78.14
Average target$88.68
+$10.55 (+13.5%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$74.00
Median$91.00
High$99.00
12-month Wall Street target range · as of Oct 22, 2026

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 4 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✗Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✗Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✓Current ratio improved
  • ✗No share dilution
  • ✗Gross margin improved
  • ✗Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 30, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

52-week range$69.39 – $82.01

What they do

Xcel Energy Inc. operates as an electric and natural gas delivery company in the United States. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility and Regulated Natural Gas Utility segments. The company generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity through its energy portfolio, including wind, nuclear, hydroelectric, biomass.

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 37%
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▼Net debt / EBITDA6.6x

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$10
-88%
growth -3% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$49
-37%
growth 2% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$103
+32%
growth 5% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2019-09-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Utilities

P/E (trailing)
sector median 20.9×
–
Forward P/E
sector median 17.5×
–
EV / EBITDA
sector median 12.9×
–
Price / sales
sector median 3.0×
–
Price / book
sector median 2.0×
–
FCF yield
sector median 0.1%
–

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
66.8%
Operating margin
24.0%
FCF margin
41.1%
Net margin
19.2%
Return on equity
9.3%
Return on invested capital
4.5%
Net debt / EBITDA
6.6×
Current ratio
0.7×
Interest cover
1.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.1×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2018$11.5B––
2017$11.4B––
2016$11.1B––
2015$11.0B––
2014$11.7B––
2013$10.9B––

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +1.5%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
20th percentile in sector
D
12-1 return: -10.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
8th percentile in sector
D-
Revenue growth (YoY): -5.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
42nd percentile in sector
C
Forward E/P: 5.9% · EBITDA/EV: 7.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
65th percentile in sector
B
Profit margin: +15.3% · Return on equity: +9.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 1 of 7 live models: SURVYR. Long Book.

SURVYR. Long Book
4.1% of the book · Core sleeve
Held
Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 369 of 499 · 12-month momentum -4.0%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
Outside this model's universe or screens
Why it's in the SURVYR. Long Book

Picked for this research portfolio at the Oct 21, 2026 close (Core group, Energy & BTM power).

What would knock it out: Weights are fixed and there is no rebalance rule. Any change would be dated and shown here.

Earnings & events

XEL earningsReports tomorrow
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Thu Oct 29, 2026Before the open
EPS consensus$1.38
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Jul 30, 2026$0.93est $0.79+18.4%Above estimates
Apr 30, 2026$0.91est $0.91+0.2%In line with estimates
Feb 5, 2026$0.96est $0.96+0.1%In line with estimates
Oct 30, 2025$1.24est $1.32−5.9%Below estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-21 18:15:41 ET
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.001.32
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
Google Partners With Xcel Energy To Fuel New AI Data Center With Clean Power
TIKR · Oct 20
Insider trades
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:15:41 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026