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How each model's hypothetical backtest would have grown vs SPY.

How this works

Pick a start date and an amount to see how each model's backtest would have grown versus SPY. Results are hypothetical, after 10 bps trading costs.

Momentum: how many stocks?

StocksOut-of-sample / yrOOS max DDFull period / yrSharpe
Top 10+30.6%-25.1%+17.9%0.70
Top 15 (live)+26.6%-24.4%+17.0%0.73
Top 20+22.9%-25.2%+15.9%0.72
Top 30+22.0%-18.5%+16.8%0.80
Fewer stocks earned more in the test but with a bumpier ride. Momentum Top 15 is the live balance.

Backtests are hypothetical and don't predict future results. Companies later acquired or delisted are missing from every backtest (survivorship bias), most of all for the $1B+ models, which use stocks listed today.

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026