SURVYR

MTZ

MasTec, Inc.
$181.00
+$4.50 (2.55%)Oct 28 close
IndustrialsS&P 400 CompareTechnicals
Model valuationLeans undervaluedDCF base $140
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-19%+13%+45%+76%+108%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $441.4352w low $178.07
MTZSPY
Wall St. Highest PT $518.00 (+186.2%) Wall St. Avg PT $377.90 (+108.8%)
$171$306$440$575$709POC $219Hi $518Avg $378
Underwater Drawdown %Max DD -60.9%Current -58.6%
0.0%-60.9%
Relative Strength vs SPY-28.5% vs SPYUnderperforming
+115%0%-115%
1W
+$0.04 (0.02%)
1M
−$23.09 (11.31%)
3M
−$106.42 (37.03%)
6M
−$189.55 (51.15%)
YTD
−$36.37 (16.73%)
1Y
−$31.04 (14.64%)

Chart

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Ratings & dials

1m · 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1D

Analyst & Morningstar ratings

Consensus · Targets · Morningstar
Wall Street analyst consensus
SellHoldStrong Buy
Strong Buy
20 analysts · mean score 1.24
1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Sell
Wall Street consensus
Analyst price targets
Current price$181.00
Average target$377.90
+$196.90 (+108.8%) upsideaverage target vs current price
CurrentAverageMedian
Low$280.00
Median$377.90
High$518.00
12-month Wall Street target range

Third-party ratings, not SURVYR.'s views.

Health check

Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Strong
Piotroski F-score 8 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✓Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✓Cash flow above net income
  • ✓Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✓Current ratio improved
  • ✓No share dilution
  • ✗Gross margin improved
  • ✓Asset turnover improved

Computed by SURVYR. from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Jun 30, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Key stats & company

Market value$14.5B
P/E (last 12 months)28.9
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)14.6
52-week range$178.07 – $441.43
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+23.4%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (20)
Average analyst price target$377.90 (+109%)

What they do

MasTec, Inc., an infrastructure engineering and construction company, provides engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, energy, utility, and other infrastructure primarily in the United States and Canada. It operates through five segments: Communications, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, Power Delivery, Pipeline Infrastructure, and Other.

Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 23%
▲Forward P/E vs sector14.6x vs median 17.5x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
▲Analyst target+109% (20 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$84
-53%
growth 11% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$140
-23%
growth 18% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$207
+15%
growth 23% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 18% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+18%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+16%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-10%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+14%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+18%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.5B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.84 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.2× · 59th pct
 28.9×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 17.5× · 35th pct
 14.6×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.9×
 –
Price / sales
sector median 2.2× · 19th pct
 0.9×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 3.5× · 55th pct
 4.2×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 4.6% · 35th pct
 3.6%
pricier

Forward EPS $12.38 vs trailing $6.27 (+97% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$16.3B
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
+43%
YoY
× TTM revenue
1.01×
coverage
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
–
FCF margin
3.2%
Net margin
3.1%
Return on equity
14.2%
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
1.4×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.2×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$378
+109%
Analysts
20
Strong Buy
Range
$280–$518
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$14.3B$399.0M$545.7M
2024$12.3B$162.8M$1.1B
2023$12.0B$-49.9M$687.3M
2022$9.8B$33.4M$352.3M
2021$8.0B$328.8M$793.1M
2020$6.3B$322.8M$937.3M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +13.5%.

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
45th percentile in sector
C
12-1 return: +4.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
85th percentile in sector
A-
Revenue growth (YoY): +23.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
58th percentile in sector
B-
Forward E/P: 6.5% · EBITDA/EV: 7.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
37th percentile in sector
C-
Profit margin: +3.1% · Return on equity: +16.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Held by 1 of 7 live models: SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power.

SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power
5.0% of the book · Fiber, EPC & Optical Interconnect (25%) sleeve · ranked 12 of 160
 HeldQuality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
 New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Barbell Momentum & T-Bill Shield
Outside this model's universe or screens
 SURVYR. Long Book
Not in the current book
Why it's in the SURVYR. Physical AI Grid & Power #12 of 160

Qualified on 5.0% weight, natural gas pipeline + high-voltage transmission + fiber civil contractor. Ranked 12th of 160 at the 2026-10-01 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 14 at the next rebalance (Oct 30).

Earnings & events

MTZ earningsReports today
Next report · quarter Sep 2026
Thu Oct 29, 2026After the close
EPS consensus$2.96
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Jul 30, 2026$2.22est $2.23−0.6%In line with estimates
Apr 30, 2026$1.39est $0.99+40.6%Above estimates
Feb 26, 2026$2.07est $1.95+6.4%Above estimates
Oct 30, 2025$2.48est $2.30+7.7%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · report time: Nasdaq earnings calendar · refreshed 2026-10-27 18:00:18 ET
24-1025-0225-0525-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.002.48
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

News & catalysts

More news
MTZ reports earnings tomorrow, after the close
Nasdaq earnings calendar · 7h ago
3 U.S. LNG Infrastructure Stocks Investors Are Watching After Russian Project Scrutiny
Simply Wall St. · Oct 24
Truist Names Top Infrastructure Services Stocks
Investing.com · Oct 12
Can Tutor Perini's $19.9B Backlog Fuel Growth Through 2027?
Zacks · Oct 09
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-27 18:00:18 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Systematic research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

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Coteau 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026